Miami Dolphins 2021 Fantasy Preview
2020 Record: 10-6
2021 Over/Under: o/u 9.5
2021 Divison Odds : +340
2021 Super Bowl Odds: +3500
As you prepare for the fantasy season, whether it be your home league, a big money squad or with us at Champions Round, we want you to be as prepared as possible heading into the season. And most of all we want to see you win!
The Miami Dolphins come into the 2021 with expectations of making the playoffs after coming up just short last year. The organization has one of the best young coaches in the game in Brian Flores, a talented roster, a very good defense and some young, exciting playmakers. There’s a lot to be excited about in South Florida. Of course, there’s a giant elephant in the room and yes that’s an Alabama joke.
Tua Tagovailoa, the Dolphins second-year QB, had a rough go of it in his rookie season while splitting time with Ryan Fitzpatrick. The former Crimson Tide QB, coming off of a hip injury, never quite looked like himself and was clearly uncomfortable. Whether it was the offense, his hip, or the speed of the NFL, it just didn’t come together last season. If Dolphins and Tua are able to get him to play at an average NFL QB level, this team is definitely a playoff contender. If not, it’s going to be a long season in South Beach.
From a fantasy perspective, there’s no one to fall in love with on the Dolphins; however, there are some interesting pieces that could help you bring home a league title. Let’s jump into it!
Champions Round “JUICE” Projections
2021 Expected Record: 9-8
2021 Expected Points Per Game: 22.1
2021 Expected Points Allowed Per Game: 20.5
Tua Tagovailoa - Rank: QB23
JUICE Projections: 402-628 Passing, 64% Completion, 3981 Passing Yds., 25 TD, 12 INT; 157 Rushing Yds, 1 Rush TD
We have Tua predicted for a fairly average to above average season in his second year. The Dolphins have a great coaching staff who are going to put him into a position to succeed. They also brought in some weapons, Will Fuller and Jaylen Waddle, who should be able to help him out quickly.
It’s odd for a second year QB to find himself on a bit of a hot seat, but that’s where Tua is right now. His accuracy needs to improve and he needs to be a bit more aggressive, but not reckless. Playing in the NFL is different than Alabama. We’ll see if the new receivers find more open field for Tua.
I personally wouldn’t touch Tua in standard re-draft leagues, but in SuperFlex he’s ok as a low end QB2. I just wouldn’t bank on him being anything more than that.
Myles Gaskin - Rank: RB38
JUICE Projections: 151 carries, 590 Rushing Yds, 6 Rush TD; 28 receptions, 160 Receiving Yds, 1 Rec. TD
Malcolm Brown - Rank: RB56
JUICE Projections: 107 carries, 416 Rushing Yds, 4 Rush TD; 115 receptions, 87 Receiving Yds
Salvon Ahmed - Rank: RB64
JUICE Projections: 81 carries, 316 Rushing Yds, 3 Rush TD; 16 receptions, 96 Receiving Yds
Flores comes from the Bill Belichick running back headache coaching tree. The team does not clearly value a bellcow running back, which is smart from a team building standpoint. But boy does is make our heads explode in the fantasy community.
Gaskin should be the guy and proved as much last season. However, his volume share and receiving volume probably won’t allow him to be anything more than a middling RB2. That’s fine given his ADP, but you’re not winning leagues based on his production.
Meanwhile, Malcolm Brown should get a lot of red zone work, which should hurt Gaskin’s upside. He’s a stash piece.
The real winner here could be Salvon Ahmed, who is third on the depth chart. Ahmed was great last season where he got the chance to play. He could be a late season league winner like Jeff Wilson Jr. was for the 49ers last year. Of course, this depends on Gaskin going down. Still, I like betting on Ahmed late in drafts. If you’re wrong, no sweat.
Will Fuller - Rank: WR40
JUICE Projections: 51 receptions, 679 Receiving Yds, 7 Rec. TD
DeVante Parker - Rank: WR46
JUICE Projections: 66 receptions, 683 Receiving Yds, 5 Rec. TD
Jaylen Waddle - Rank: WR60
JUICE Projections: 41 receptions, 502 Receiving Yds, 4 Rec. TD
Which Dolphins receiver is going to find himself as Tua’s top target? When Will Fuller is healthy, he’s an absolute monster of a receiver. But that’s the thing about Fuller and everyone knows it: he’s never healthy. So we’ll see. But given his ADP, I love him in best ball leagues. I think in redraft it’s ok to stay away from him, but he could return some great value if healthy.
Parker is probably the loser here with Tua the full time QB. He just doesn’t fit what Tua does well. Meanwhile, Waddle should know EXACTLY what Tua wants to do, given that they’ve played together before. We’ll see how the Dolphins utilize him, but I would expect a lot of short passes and crossing routes. I don’t think the volume is there for a ton of fantasy upside, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s a big time breakout candidate in 2022.
Mike Gesicki - Rank: TE8
JUICE Projections: 63 receptions, 697 Receiving Yds, 5 Rec. TD
Gesicki is in his third season, traditionally a good year for Tight End production to get elevated. The former Penn State product had a very productive 2020 campaign and should be a red zone threat once again this year. Unfortunately, he’s in the TE dead zone. I wouldn’t waste a pick on him. I would rather wait and take a shot on someone like Gerald Everett or Jared Cook.
TL;DR 2021 Miami Dolphins
- It’s tough to buy in on the Dolphins without knowing what Tua will be this season.
- If I had to bet on a receiver, I would bet on Will Fuller
- Watch out for Salvon Ahmed, but Gaskin is probably a decent buy
- Mike Gesicki may have some red zone regression, but should still be a good buy if he drops past his ADP.
Thanks for reading and good luck in your drafts! Next Up: the Minnesota Vikings!