Kansas City Chiefs 2021 Fantasy Preview

Kansas City Chiefs

2020 Record: 14-2

2021 Over/Under: o/u 12.5

2021 Divison Odds : -250

2021 Super Bowl Odds: +500

As you prepare for the fantasy season, whether it be your home league, a big money squad or with us at Champions Round, we want you to be as prepared as possible heading into the season. And most of all we want to see you win! 

The Kansas City Chiefs are Super Bowl contenders for the fourth year in a row and have a chance to avenge their 2020 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. KC didn’t exactly reload on either side of the ball, but they improved their offensive line immensely, which should provide big returns for their offense. The defense still has its issues, but if Patrick Mahomes is upright and healthy the team should coast to another AFC West title. 

From a fantasy perspective, the usual suspects are back. Mahomes is going to be a top 5 fantasy QB, at worst, and Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce should continue to destroy opposing defenses, if healthy. I am betting on a big season from Clyde Edwards-Helaire but I’m not truly buying the Year 3 breakout from Mecole Hardman. Let’s jump into it!

Champions Round “JUICE” Projections

2021 Expected Record: 12-5

2021 Expected Points Per Game: 29.8

2021 Expected Points Allowed Per Game: 23.3

QB

Patrick Mahomes - Rank: QB1

JUICE Projections: 454-687 Passing, 66% Completion, 5625 Passing Yds., 43 TD, 9 INT; 268 Rushing Yds, 3 Rush TD

There’s a legitimate chance that Mahomes could become the first player to break the 6,000 yard passing mark if everything goes right this season. That starts with the offensive line protecting the best QB of his generation better than they did in the Super Bowl. The Chiefs revamped their line in the offseason and that should result in more time for Mahomes to do his thing. With Tyreek and Kelce, Mahomes has stud weapons. If Mecole Hardman becomes a true third banana and CEH improves on his 2020 season, this offense could be silly good. Like 2013 Broncos good. Mahomes is clearly QB1, but I personally don’t want to pay for his ADP when someone like Dak Prescott could outscore him in fantasy. But if you love Mahomes, go for it. No one is going to be angry about riding out the season with Mahomes at QB.

RB

Clyde Edwards-Helaire - Rank: RB13

JUICE Projections: 198 carries, 851 Rushing Yds, 9 Rush TD; 57 receptions, 461 Receiving Yds, 3 Rec. TD

Edwards-Helaire fell short of massive expectations in 2020, but should see more volume in 2021 and knows how to operate in this offense. With an improved offensive line, the diminutive back from LSU should find more success on the ground. I believe he’s a fringe RB1 candidate this season and would jump at the chance to take him in Round 3.

Darrel Williams - Rank: RB71

JUICE Projections: 62 carries, 267 Rushing Yds, 2 Rush TD; 13 receptions, 95 Receiving Yds

Jerick McKinnon - Rank: RB62

JUICE Projections: 47 carries, 197 Rushing Yds, 2 Rush TD; 25 receptions, 209 Receiving Yds, 1 Rec. TD

If CEH goes down, Williams will step into the lead back role and would be a RB2 type of player. McKinnon has stand alone value as a pass catcher in deeper leagues, but would get a lot of work if CEH or Williams went down. He’s someone to keep an eye on.

WR

Tyeek Hill - Rank: WR2

JUICE Projections: 88 receptions, 1250 Receiving Yds, 13 Rec. TD

Hill should once again dominate defenses with his electric speed and dynamic route running. I have him as my WR2, but anywhere in the WR1-5 range is fair. Given the depth at WR this season, I won’t have much Hill stock. But if you’re going to take Hill with a late first or early second round pick, I would avoid taking Travis Kelce and CEH. That being said, pairing Hill and Mahomes would put your team in a great spot to succeed in 2021.

Mecole Hardman - Rank: WR54

JUICE Projections: 46 receptions, 627 Receiving Yds, 5 Rec. TD

I must admit that I hate not being on the Hardman Year 3 breakout train. I loved his potential coming out of Georgia and his game breaking speed is special. Unfortunately the Chiefs clearly do not view him as a true WR2 and I doubt they utilize him as such this season, even without Sammy Watkins. Maybe I’m wrong. I hope I’m wrong. I just don’t see the volume here for Hardman. 

DeMarcus Robinson - Rank: WR71

JUICE Projections: 45 receptions, 467 Receiving Yds, 5 Rec. TD

Robinson has shown the ability to be a red zone threat for the Chiefs. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him as the WR2 for the Chiefs. 

Byron Pringle - Rank: WR113

JUICE Projections: 23 receptions, 266 Receiving Yds, 2 Rec. TD

Antonio Callaway and Cornell Powell could also be options here as the fourth receiving. I’m banking on Pringle being that guy given his knowledge of the offense. He could end up being the WR2 on the Chiefs this year. 

TE

Travis Kelce - Rank: TE1

JUICE Projections: 92 receptions, 1230 Receiving Yds, 11 Rec. TD

Kelce should once again be the best tight end in football. Not much else to think about here. He’s easily a first round pick in all fantasy leagues and having the best TE in the game certainly has its benefits in fantasy. I would pick him as high as 5th overall in re-draft leagues.

Noah Gray - Rank: TE62

JUICE Projections: 12 receptions, 136 Receiving Yds, 1 Rec. TD

Gray is someone who has popped at training camp and would be in line for some action if Kelce has any sort of injury this season. He’s just a rookie and rookie TE’s don’t usually do much. But Kelce is getting older. Gray could be a nice stash on dynasty Taxi squads.

TL;DR 2021 Kansas City Chiefs

  • Mahomes for 6k yards is in play
  • Bank on CEH Year 2 Breakout
  • Kelce and Tyreek should put up monster seasons once again
  • Keep an eye on Mecole Hardman. If he’s utilized as the true WR2, this could be a big year. If not, he could be a bust.

Thanks for reading and good luck in your drafts! Next Up: the Las Vegas Raiders!