Houston Texans 2021 Fantasy Preview

Houston Texans

2020 Record: 4-12

2021 Over/Under: o/u 4

2021 Divison Odds : +2100

2021 Super Bowl Odds: +20000

As you prepare for the fantasy season, whether it be your home league, a big money squad or with us at Champions Round, we want you to be as prepared as possible heading into the season. And most of all we want to see you win! 

The Houston Texans are a mess. I think that’s an appropriate place to start. The Texans’ best player, DeShaun Watson, had quite an eventful offseason. He requested a trade and then found himself in the middle of a lawsuit that could see him miss the entire 2021 season. Even if Watson is able to play in 2021, does he want to play in Houston? It’s a really odd situation. 

If Watson is unable to play, this is the worst team in the NFL by a mile. If Watson is able to play, this is still one of the worst teams in the league. The construction of this roster, which is at the very beginning of a full rebuild, is very odd. Outside of Watson and left tackle Laremy Tunsil, there is almost no top end talent. However, the bottom 30-40% of the roster is probably the best in the league comparatively. It’s just so weird. Former Patriots executive Nick Caserio is now in charge and figures to be very active with roster turnover during the season. In other words, we have no idea what to expect from this team. 

There aren’t a whole lot of players on the Texans to get excited about in fantasy. There’s not a lot of young talent to buy in dynasty and there’s not top end talent to utilize this season in re-draft, outside of potentially Watson.

All of this leaves many fantasy players avoiding the Texans all together. But is that wise? Let’s find out.

Champions Round “JUICE” Projections

2021 Expected Record: 4-13

2021 Expected Points Per Game: 20.5

2021 Expected Points Allowed Per Game: 29.4

QB

DeShaun Watson - Rank: QB32

JUICE Projections: 162-245 Passing, 66% Completion, 1724 Passing Yds., 13 TD, 4 INT; 183 Rushing Yds, 3 Rush TD

Tyrod Taylor - Rank: QB34

JUICE Projections: 189-315 Passing, 60% Completion, 1832 Passing Yds., 9 TD, 7 INT; 173 Rushing Yds, 1 Rush TD

Davis Mills - Rank: QB40

JUICE Projections: 38-63 Passing, 61% Completion, 377 Passing Yds., 1 TD, 2 INT; 10 Rushing Yds

One of the more interesting questions for fantasy players this season is whether or not to take Watson late in drafts? If he plays, Watson is clearly one of the seven best fantasy QBs in the game and one of the top players in the NFL in general. Imagine getting by with Joe Burrow as your QB for the first 10 weeks of the year and then breaking out Watson for the fantasy playoffs! It’s tempting. 

Our projections are based on Watson serving a 10 game suspension. That is just simply a guess. There’s a chance Watson could play Week 1, in all honesty. The NFL has yet to suspend him and Watson reported for Texans camp. However, that seems highly unlikely. It’s much more likely Watson doesn’t play a down this season. 

If that’s the case, the Texans will start the season with Tyrod Taylor, who likely only holds fantasy value in Best Ball and SuperFlex formats, even though he would be a very low end QB2 in SF leagues. 

It seems likely that Davis Mills, the rookie QB out of Stanford, will see the field this season. In dynasty formats he could be a great buy. However, he’s likely someone that won’t matter at all in other formats in 2021.

RB

David Johnson - Rank: RB34

JUICE Projections: 119 carries, 500 Rushing Yds, 5 Rush TD; 35 receptions, 248 Receiving Yds, 2 Rec. TD

Phillip Lindsay - Rank: RB54

JUICE Projections: 87 carries, 371 Rushing Yds, 2 Rush TD; 25 receptions, 167 Receiving Yds, 1 Rec. TD

Mark Ingram - Rank: RB58

JUICE Projections: 104 carries, 406 Rushing Yds, 3 Rush TD; 14 receptions, 91 Receiving Yds

Look, someone is going to play running back for the Texans. Someone is going to score rushing touchdowns and catch the ball out of the backfield. Could it be David Johnson? Sure, he’s the lead back. But he’s not a reliable back anymore and would be a dicey RB2 on any roster. As a RB3, maybe he holds value, but wouldn’t you want to grab someone with bigger upside?

Mark Ingram is probably toast, so it’s fair if you just pass on him in all formats. Lindsay; however, seems like a late round sleeper that could be in line for a big role with the Texans. He’s still young and is a very productive back when he gets touches. If he turns into the bellcow for the Texans, he could be a pretty valuable piece for fantasy players.

WR

Brandin Cooks - Rank: WR42

JUICE Projections: 64 receptions, 731 Receiving Yds, 5 Rec. TD

Keke Coutee - Rank: WR84

JUICE Projections: 41 receptions, 420 Receiving Yds, 3 Rec. TD

Nico Collins - Rank: WR100

JUICE Projections: 31 receptions, 342 Receiving Yds, 2 Rec. TD

Brandin Cooks continues to be undervalued in all formats and could be a great WR3 this season for all fantasy players. Someone has to dominate the target share for the Texans, and it seems likely to be Cooks, who has had an incredibly productive career. 

Coutee and Collins are long shots to hold value in re-draft leagues, but could be nice best ball pieces. 

TE

Jordan Akins - Rank: TE27

JUICE Projections: 37 receptions, 375 Receiving Yds, 2 Rec. TD

Pharaoh Brown - Rank: TE52

JUICE Projections: 21 receptions, 210 Receiving Yds, 1 Rec. TD

Brevin Jordan - Rank: TE48

JUICE Projections: 20 receptions, 201 Receiving Yds, 2 Rec. TD

Kahale Warring - Rank: TE72

JUICE Projections: 11 receptions, 112 Receiving Yds

Is there a sleeper breakout candidate at Tight End for the Texans? It’s hard to peg any one of these receivers to have a big year in 2021. There’s simply too many of them and no one has separated from the bunch. The best bet is the rookie, Brevin Jordan, but only in dynasty formats. 

TL;DR 2021 Houston Texans

  • You guess is as good as mine here. I guess Brandin Cooks is a good buy?
  • Does DeShaun Watson play at all this season and does he play for the Texans again?
  • Phillip Lindsay could be a good pick late in drafts

Thanks for reading and good luck in your drafts! Next Up: the Cincinnati Bengals!