Chicago Bears 2021 Fantasy Preview

Chicago Bears

2020 Record: 8-8

2021 Over/Under: o/u 7.5

2021 Divison Odds : +500

2021 Super Bowl Odds: +4500

As you prepare for the fantasy season, whether it be your home league, a big money squad or with us at Champions Round, we want you to be as prepared as possible heading into the season. And most of all we want to see you win! 

The Bears find themselves in what should be considered a transitional year for the franchise. But it’s an odd one. Chicago has a talented defense and that alone should make them competitive in the NFC. The team made the playoffs at 8-8 with Nick Foles and Mitchell Trubisky at QB. Could they do the same in 2021 with Andy Dalton and Justin Fields? We’ll see.

Offensively the Bears have some decent pieces. David Montgomery is a talented RB who should have another productive season. Allen Robinson is one of the most underrated players in the NFL and should once again be a top 10-15 fantasy option at receiver. They have a plethora of talented tight ends and a second-year receiver in Darnell Mooney who is primed for a breakout season. But who is the QB and how will they fair?

Bears head coach Matt Nagy has made it clear Dalton is the guy, for now. He will be the starter come Week 1. But when does Justin Fields take over? It’s clear to all of us on the outside that he should be the guy fairly early on. If he does take over early, how quickly can he adjust to the NFL? If he finds success early, this is a playoff team. If not, the Bears look like a .500 team at best.

Champions Round “JUICE” Projections

2021 Expected Record: 8-9

2021 Expected Points Per Game: 22.5

2021 Expected Points Allowed Per Game: 23.7

QB

Andy Dalton - Rank: QB37

JUICE Projections: 122-190 Passing, 64% Completion, 1310 Passing Yds., 7 TD, 6 INT; 32 Rushing Yds

Justin Fields - Rank: QB30

JUICE Projections: 298-480 Passing, 62% Completion, 2919 Passing Yds., 18 TD, 12 INT; 393 Rushing Yds, 4 Rush TD

Dalton was not very productive last season in Dallas and is going to a worse offense. His upside is severely limited. I’m not sure he holds value in any fantasy format, other than in best ball if you combine him with Fields. Meanwhile, Fields has a ton of fantasy upside in all formats and would be a great late round stash. Fields’ rushing abilities will provide a nice floor for him and he has some nice offensive weapons. I would expect him to be a borderline QB1 when he gets the call.

RB

David Montgomery - Rank: RB21

JUICE Projections: 194 carries, 834 Rushing Yds, 9 Rush TD; 34 receptions, 252 Receiving Yds, 2 Rec. TD

Montgomery had a breakout season in 2020 and is once again poised to see a ton of volume in the Bears’ backfield. Part of his breakout was due to the fact that Tarik Cohen was injured. With Cohen back, and the addition of Damien Williams, Montgomery should see a bit of a smaller role in 2021, but one that may see him be more efficient on a play-by-play basis. I have him at RB21, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him have another top 10 finish this season in fantasy.

Tarik Cohen - Rank: RB52

JUICE Projections: 64 carries, 307 Rushing Yds, 1 Rush TD; 46 receptions, 309 Receiving Yds, 1 Rec. TD

Cohen does one thing at an elite level: catch passes out of the backfield. He’s not going to see a ton of volume, which obviously limits his upside. But with Fields he could see a bigger role as a safety net for the young QB. In best ball leagues and deeper full PPR redraft leagues he could be a nice late round pick.

Damien Williams - Rank: RB63

JUICE Projections: 81 carries, 340 Rushing Yds, 2 Rush TD; 15 receptions, 104 Receiving Yds, 1 Rec. TD 

The last time we saw Williams on the field he was clinching a Super Bowl title for the Chiefs. That’s a lot of time off for a running back, but he’s clearly talented and should have a nice backup role. He doesn’t have a ton of value right now, but in deep dynasty leagues I would stash him. If Montgomery goes down, Williams is the guy.

WR

Allen Robinson - Rank: WR10

JUICE Projections: 102 receptions, 1215 Receiving Yds, 8 Rec. TD

Robinson is criminally underrated. It doesn’t matter what QB he plays with, he produces. With Dalton, he should be very productive. With Fields, he could be a top 5 fantasy receiver. You may not see that sort of production this season, but in 2022 I would be all over Robinson. Great time to buy him in dynasty formats.

Darnell Mooney - Rank: WR58

JUICE Projections: 62 receptions, 643 Receiving Yds, 3 Rec. TD

Mooney was really impressive as a rookie last season and is now in a position where he is the clear no. 2 option in the Bears offense. We have him ranked as WR58, but he could easily have a top 30 finish. He’s a great mid round pick in all formats. 

TE

Cole Kmet - Rank: TE20

JUICE Projections: 46 receptions, 463 Receiving Yds, 4 Rec. TD

Kmet didn’t make much of a mark during his rookie season, but a lot of that was due to his QB play and the presence of Jimmy Graham. Graham is still around, but Kmet should see a lot more action in 2021 and if you’re betting on his upside, you’re betting on himself developing chemistry with Fields. It’s possible. In dynasty leagues he’s still someone to bet on. In other leagues, I would probably take more of a wait and see approach.

Jimmy Graham - Rank: TE31

JUICE Projections: 37 receptions, 344 Receiving Yds, 2 Rec. TD

Graham was good in the red zone last season and figures to have a similar role in 2021. In best ball leagues he may be worthy of a late pick, but I would stay away.

TL;DR 2021 Chicago Bears

  • Justin Fields should be a productive fantasy QB once he takes over for Andy Dalton
  • Allen Robinson Top 10 option at wide receiver for fantasy
  • David Montgomery is boom or bust
  • Darnell Mooney could be a great late round receiver and is an elite dynasty option

Thanks for reading and good luck in your drafts! Next Up: Denver Broncos!