Buy Or Sell Week 5
Welcome to Week 5, where everything is made up and the big fantasy names don’t matter. In what has been the theme of this season, injuries and bad performances have given rise to almost total anarchy. We are left to deal with the reality that winning seasons may have to come from unexpected sources, and we may have to cut bait on popular names we would never dream of dealing away to begin the season. Let’s take a look through all the carnage, and see the light at the end of the tunnel.
Damien Harris, RB, New England Patriots
Damien Harris seemed like a fantasy stud at the start of the year, but he has since been a disappointment for his owners. Harris and the New England Patriots have faced the New Orleans Saints and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Both defenses rank in the top seven in DVOA against the run, so it’s been more of an opponent over circumstance. Harris should bounce back, and now is the perfect time to acquire him.
Brandin Cooks, WR, Houston Texans
Davis Mills has sent Cooks’ stock plummeting in recent weeks. There are good signs for a bounce-back, however. Cooks remains the focal point of the offense even with Mills at the helm, and that will translate into a significant target share, which is king in fantasy. Take advantage of people worried about Mills to acquire Cooks.
Gesicki has seen a ton of snaps on offense through four games. Jacoby Brissett is targeting Gesicki early and often. Tight End is once again a dumpster fire for fantasy purposes, so if you have a chance to acquire a player that’s getting consistent work, you take it. For the time being, he’ll be a low-end TE1.
T.J. Hockenson, TE, Lions
Hockenson has had a tough two weeks after a good start to the season. All that preseason hype has become a distant memory. Quintez Cephus, Kalif Raymond, and Amon Ra St Brown have proven to be more of a thorn in the side of Hockenson owners than originally thought. Hockenson is still being targeted at an elite rate. (Notice a trend?) If a manager is worried about two terrible games, now is the moment to seize the opportunity.
Sam Darnold, QB, Carolina Panthers
Sam Darnold has borrowed some Konami magic this season, rushing for 5 TDs so far this year to go along with his impressive passing stats. His move to Carolina has brought him renewed fantasy value. The issue is this kind of rushing output in TDs is hard to sustain and his difficult fantasy playoff schedule makes him a dangerous starter when you need him the most. This is more for 1QB leagues, as in SF you should absolutely keep him, but if there is a chance to get a starter that’s just as consistent but has an easier playoff schedule, go get him.
Sanders appears to be losing his job in Philly. Rookie Kenneth Gainwell has come in and performed better with fewer touches in the offense. I’d be turning away and finding another player after finishing with 15 total touches in the past two weeks, especially losing the goal-line work to Gainwell as well. The Eagles rarely run the ball, to begin with, so the opportunities are barely there for Sanders and Gainwell to share.
Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense have had a hard time adjusting to the offense new coach Arthur Smith brought in from Tennessee. Calvin Ridley cost you WR1 draft capital, and he’s not even close to having that kind of production. HE was thought of by some to be in contention for the overall WR1. You need to cut your losses, and depend on name value to see if you can unload him for a more consistent producer.
Tyler Boyd, WR, Bengals
Boyd has been an absolute godsend for fantasy players that have had to deal with bigger names failing to produce consistent results. But unfortunately, his increase in production is directly tied to Tee Higgins’ absence from the field, and with Higgins expected to return to the field as soon as this week, you really have to sell him for someone on the upswing (Darnell Mooney, maybe?).