Buffalo Bills 2021 Fantasy Preview

Buffalo Bills

2020 Record: 13-3

2021 Over/Under: o/u 10.5

2021 Divison Odds :-175

2021 Super Bowl Odds: +900

As you prepare for the fantasy season, whether it be your home league, a big money squad or with us at Champions Round, we want you to be as prepared as possible heading into the season. And most of all we want to see you win! 

The Buffalo Bills come into the 2021 season with huge expectations after a 2020 season that saw them finish 13-3 and come within a game of the Super Bowl. Josh Allen, under the guidance of offensive coordinator Brian Daboll, was the most improved QB in the NFL last season and could have easily been league MVP. The addition of Stefon Diggs and Allen’s improved accuracy helped lift the Bills to capturing the AFC East title. 

In 2021, it’s Super Bowl or bust for head coach Sean McDermott’s squad. The offense is back, with the addition of Emmanuel Sanders, and the defense should once again be a pretty competitive unit. So long as Allen keeps it rolling, the Bills should be Super Bowl contenders.

Champions Round “JUICE” Projections

2021 Expected Record: 11-6

2021 Expected Points Per Game: 28.6

2021 Expected Points Allowed Per Game: 22.9

QB

Josh Allen - Rank: QB4

JUICE Projections: 443-657 Passing, 67% Completion, 4656 Passing Yds., 37 TD, 12 INT; 404 Rushing Yds, 7 Rush TD

From a fantasy perspective, Allen was about as good as it gets in 2020. His rushing abilities have always provide a nice floor, but the addition of Diggs really transformed Allen into a top flight QB. There’s no reason to expect Allen to take a step back this season. The question is can he take another leap? We’ll see. But he’s easily a top 5 fantasy QB this season with the upside of being QB1. 

RB

Zach Moss - Rank: RB33

JUICE Projections: 143 carries, 615 Rushing Yds, 7 Rush TD; 19 receptions, 123 Receiving Yds, 3 Rec. TD

Moss had a solid rookie season in Buffalo and could be a nice breakout candidate in 2021. A lot depends on how much the Bills utilize the run game, something they didnt utilize much in 2020, and how much Moss is utilized in comparison to Devin Singletary. We believe Moss is the RB1 in Buffalo, but unless he targeted more in the passing game, his upside is a bit limited. If you’re utilizing the “Hero RB” strategy, Moss is a good mid-round target.

Devin Singletary - Rank: RB43

JUICE Projections: 103 carries, 453 Rushing Yds, 4 Rush TD; 28 receptions, 191 Receiving Yds, 3 Rec. TD

Singletary was a bit up and down in 2020 and never really got anything going after a very promising rookie season in 2019. Will he see enough volume to be a RB2? Probably not. But obviously if Moss were to go down Singletary would be a nice piece to have. I wouldn’t take Singletary before the 9th round in redraft leagues.

Matt Breida - Rank: RB73

JUICE Projections: 49 carries, 240 Rushing Yds, 1 Rush TD; 13 receptions, 83 Receiving Yds, 1 Rec. TD

Breida is a monster in yards per carry when he’s healthy. He’ll never have enough volume to be relevant in fantasy on a season long basis, but in any given week he could break off a long touchdown run. In deeper leagues he’s a nice piece to have, but I wouldn’t expect much from him in 2021.

WR

Stefon Diggs - Rank: WR4

JUICE Projections: 114 receptions, 1264 Receiving Yds, 9 Rec. TD

What else is there to say about Diggs? He’s one of the top wide receivers in the NFL and so long as he’s healthy he will be a top 10 fantasy receiver. Diggs is worthy of a second-round pick in all leagues. If you’re in a full PPR league, he’s probably worth a late first-round pick.

Gabriel Davis - Rank: WR34

JUICE Projections: 61 receptions, 845 Receiving Yds, 6 Rec. TD

Gabe Davis 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀. The second-year receiver from UCF was productive in his rookie season and proved that he could not only be a force on jump balls, but he could be a threat all over the field. The Bills have a lot of targets available and the Cole Beasley situation, which we’ll get to, should allow for Davis to get a decent target share. Throw in the fact that Diggs is likely to see even more double coverage in 2021 and you have the recipe for a massive breakout season. Davis will start off the season as a flex starter in all re-draft leagues, but I think he’ll be a WR3 or even WR2 by the middle of the season.

Cole Beasley - Rank: WR50

JUICE Projections: 64 receptions, 654 Receiving Yds, 5 Rec. TD

Beasley not only has competition in the slot with Emmanuel Sanders, but his twitter “antics” and anti-vaccination stance may hurt him on the field. We’ll see on that last point. But he’s doing himself no favors. He’s still a very good slot receiver and has a significant role on this team. If players in your fantasy leagues decide to not draft Beasley because of the negative media attention, he’ll probably return you some decent value if you take advantage. 

Emmanuel Sanders - Rank: WR72

JUICE Projections: 52 receptions, 539 Receiving Yds, 3 Rec. TD

Sanders may have a smaller role in Buffalo than he’s had in previous seasons, but he should still be productive in this offense. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Sanders emerge as a slot threat and occasional flex starter in deeper leagues.

TE

Dawson Knox - Rank: TE24

JUICE Projections: 32 receptions, 361 Receiving Yds, 5 Rec. TD

Knox is a very intriguing piece in best ball leagues and someone to target if you don’t plan on taking a tight end early in drafts. Yes, he’s not going to get a big target share. But he’s a red zone threat on a team that figures to spend a lot of time near the end zone. For that reason alone he could have value.

TL;DR 2021 Buffalo Bills

  • The Josh Allen-Stefon Diggs train should find continued success in Year 2
  • Zach Moss > Devin Singletary
  • Gabriel Davis should have a giant breakout season in 2021

Thanks for reading and good luck in your drafts! Next Up: Carolina Panthers.